Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 0.021160 0.024676 0.028558 0.033155 0.038446 0.044340 0.051397
2025-10-26 0.015253 0.019632 0.024923 0.031764 0.040356 0.050766 0.064311
2025-11-02 0.011331 0.015910 0.021898 0.030255 0.041570 0.056299 0.076862
2025-11-09 0.008787 0.013337 0.019719 0.029249 0.043027 0.062115 0.090428
2025-11-16 0.007182 0.011688 0.018419 0.029089 0.045434 0.069344 0.106726
2025-11-23 0.005817 0.010101 0.016880 0.028234 0.046567 0.074739 0.120925
2025-11-30 0.005180 0.009527 0.016770 0.029500 0.051027 0.085558 0.144546
2025-12-07 0.004447 0.008643 0.015987 0.029499 0.053368 0.093231 0.163997
2025-12-14 0.003709 0.007607 0.014757 0.028509 0.053836 0.097788 0.178715
2025-12-21 0.003200 0.006899 0.013992 0.028203 0.055405 0.104307 0.197408
2025-12-28 0.002987 0.006737 0.014215 0.029753 0.060526 0.117593 0.229476
2026-01-04 0.002726 0.006424 0.014090 0.030594 0.064375 0.128934 0.259131
2026-01-11 0.002326 0.005749 0.013142 0.029676 0.064733 0.133902 0.277637
2026-01-18 0.002036 0.005265 0.012523 0.029350 0.066243 0.141262 0.301610
2026-01-25 0.001743 0.004720 0.011681 0.028413 0.066338 0.145792 0.320415
2026-02-01 0.001509 0.004272 0.010987 0.027697 0.066799 0.151092 0.341333
2026-02-08 0.001349 0.003982 0.010613 0.027664 0.068763 0.159742 0.370179
2026-02-15 0.001172 0.003609 0.009980 0.026907 0.068955 0.164552 0.391200
2026-02-22 0.001113 0.003556 0.010144 0.028149 0.074031 0.180735 0.439055
2026-03-01 0.001004 0.003338 0.009845 0.028164 0.076120 0.190331 0.472947
2026-03-08 0.000872 0.003020 0.009219 0.027225 0.075697 0.194023 0.493532
2026-03-15 0.000780 0.002807 0.008854 0.026936 0.076900 0.201701 0.524309
2026-03-22 0.000756 0.002811 0.009113 0.028422 0.082962 0.221826 0.587145